Mortgage Rates: What’s Really Happening Right Now

Mortgage rates are still on everyone’s mind — and for good reason. Earlier this month, we saw them dip to the lowest level so far this year at 6.55%. At first glance, that might not seem huge, but for buyers who’ve been waiting (and waiting) for a break, even a small drop is a glimmer of hope that maybe we’re finally heading in the right direction. The question is… are we?


Most forecasts say we shouldn’t expect a dramatic slide anytime soon. Experts predict rates will hover in the mid-to-low 6% range through 2026. So, no big freefall, but small moves — like the one we just saw — are still very possible.

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Most forecasts say we shouldn’t expect a dramatic slide anytime soon. Experts predict rates will hover in the mid-to-low 6% range through 2026. So, no big freefall, but small moves — like the one we just saw — are still very possible.

The Number Everyone’s Watching

For many buyers, the magic threshold is 6%. And it’s not just because it sounds nice — it actually makes a difference. The National Association of Realtors (NAR) recently reported that if rates hit 6%:

About 5.5 million more households could afford the median-priced home.

Roughly 550,000 people would likely buy within 12–18 months.

That’s a lot of would-be buyers just waiting to jump in. Which leads to the next question: does it make sense to wait for 6%?

The Tradeoff of Waiting

If you’re holding out for that magic number, remember — so is everyone else. When rates do dip, expect more competition, fewer options, and potentially higher prices.

Right now, you’ve got a few advantages that may not stick around:

  • More inventory means more choices.
  • Slower price growth means more realistic asking prices.
  • Room to negotiate could mean a better deal overall.

 

Final Thoughts…

Your next home could be closer than you think—let’s start the search.

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Nicole Kelly

Nicole Kelly has been working in the real estate market for over 18 years. She brings extensive knowledge, communication and care to each and every one of her clients. Her passion is helping home buyers and sellers navigate the complex world of real estate, and offering them a smooth, stress-free and even fun experience.

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